Vladimir Putin and the decision to invade Ukraine. What is the future of the Kremlin leader? What do the Russians think and say?
President Vladimir Putin has been weakened by the decision to invade Ukraine, but a change at the top of power in Russia is unlikely due to the autocratic nature of its political system, one Western official said anonymously in an interview with Reuters. In his opinion, the failures of the Russians at the front and the political chaos related to the decision to invade “must mean that people talk more and more about the change of power, talk more about what will happen next, imagine life” without Putin in power.
According to a Western official who wishes to remain anonymous Vladimir Putin it has weakened the “truly catastrophic mistake” of invading Ukraine. “We see the Russian military humiliated on the battlefield by Ukraine,” he adds.
The Reuters interlocutor also notes that the war strengthened Ukrainian statehood and FOR THIS, thus weakening Putin. “People can see he made a big mistake. They (the Russians) didn’t have a plan B – they thought it would be really easy,” he adds. In his opinion, the failure of the Russians at the front and the political chaos related to the decision to invade “must mean that people talk more and more about the change of power, talk more about what will happen next, imagine life without” Putin in power, “the official further comments, noting at the same time, that he does not claim that such a fundamental change could take place in the near future. He emphasizes that although the change of leader in Russia is “unlikely”, but the mid-20s of the 21st century are starting to look “more interesting”
The next presidential elections in Russia will be held in 2024. Putin has not yet declared whether he will run again.
Russia’s turn to Asia
Reuters also quotes Putin himself, who said he did not regret starting what he calls a “special operation” of Russia against Ukraine, and sees the war as a turning point in which Russia “finally resisted the arrogant hegemony of the West after decades of humiliation since its fall in 1991 of the Soviet Union “.
After the West imposed the strictest sanctions on Moscow in modern history because of the war, Putin says Russia is turning to Asia, and especially China.
The biggest confrontation with the West in 60 years
Reuters writes in its comment that war in Ukraine It has already claimed tens of thousands of lives and sparked the biggest confrontation with the West since the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, when the Cold War superpowers were on the brink of a nuclear war. Both Ukrainian and Russian forces are digging in for the winter as temperatures begin to drop and the war is likely to continue to be “a long, difficult and bloody conflict,” an anonymous official points out. The agency calculates that after Putin’s partial mobilization order on September 21, at least 400,000 Russians left the country, in addition to those citizens who left shortly after the invasion began.
The Reuters interlocutor also points out that the Russian economy, due to numerous sanctions, will shrink by at least 4.5 percent in 2022, and will shrink even more next year. He also claims that there are no indications for the time being that Russia is ready to enter into serious negotiations with the Ukrainian side. He also predicts that “it will continue to be a long, difficult, bloody conflict.”
Main photo source: PAP / EPA / MIKHAIL METZEL / KREMLIN POOL / SPUTNIK
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