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The disastrous effects of mobilization in Russia. “It’s a real drain on the minds”

The disastrous effects of mobilization in Russia. “It’s a real drain on the minds”

  • 200,000 were sent to Ukraine soldiers, and about 300 thousand. Russians left the country – notes “Tagesspiegel”
  • There has been a significant increase in the number of marriages in Russia following Putin’s announcement of partial mobilization – because “only wives are entitled to certain social benefits, such as widow’s pension”
  • Experts assume that more recruitments will take place as the war continues. “In total, the war can kill and injure up to 500,000 men in the 20 to 34 age group” – estimates Maxi Mironow
  • More important information can be found on the Onet homepage

Vladimir Putin himself pointed out the dramatic demographic situation in the country in April 2021 in Moscow. – Demographic development is a necessity. Saving the Russian nation is our highest national priority, said Putin, addressing Russian politicians.

“Almost ten months later, Putin’s priorities, if he ever really took them seriously, changed. 200,000 soldiers were sent to Ukraine, and around 300,000 Russians left the country,” Tagesspiegel (TS) notes.

As the attack on Ukraine did not end, contrary to the Russian authorities’ expectations, within a few days, Putin ordered a partial mobilization in September. As a result, another 300,000 were sent to the front. reservists – official information said. “However, it is more likely that the Kremlin has recruited many more people to fill the gaps at the front,” added TS.

According to the data of the independent Russian media company MediaZona, 492,000 people had been recruited by the beginning of October. reservists. There has been a significant increase in the number of marriages in Russia following Putin’s announcement of partial mobilization – because “only wives are entitled to certain social benefits, such as widow’s pension.”

The rest of the article below the video.

It is difficult to determine how many Russians fled abroad after September 21, according to Western estimates it could have been as much as 500-700 thousand. “Among them there were many young men, people with higher education. It is a real drain on the minds” – adds “TS”.

Experts from the IE Business School in Madrid tried to calculate how the partial mobilization would affect Russian society. “On the basis of British intelligence reports from the territories of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics, where extensive mobilization has already taken place, it can be assumed that losses among new recruits will amount to 50 to 60 percent.” – said Maxi Mironow, economist at the IE Business School in Madrid, considering the “losses” of men killed or seriously injured. According to estimates, it is about 250-300 thousand. Russians.

Mironov and other experts assume that more recruitments will take place as the war continues. “In total, war can kill and injure up to 500,000 men in the 20-34 age group” – he estimates. If you add those fleeing recruitment, Russia may lose over 1 million men from the most important age group for the economy.

“In Russia there are at least 12 million men between the ages of 20 and 34, of which about 10 percent will either die in the war or flee” – estimated Mironov. According to the economist, this will cause “long-term economic damage of 5-6 percent of Russia’s gross domestic product.”

“The first wave of refugees consisted of roughly a third of IT specialists, a third of managers and a third of creative professionals. This is a mind-drain that will complicate the modernization of the economy,” says Vasily Astrov from the Institute of International Economic Studies in Vienna.

The consequences of the war additionally worsen the demography, which has been weak for years. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the population has decreased from approximately 150 to 144 million people. In 2021 alone, almost 2.5 million people died in Russia, the number of births amounted to 1.4 million.

“Many families are now putting off starting a family because of uncertainty. But if the mobilization takes longer, these children will never be born due to the large number of victims among potential fathers,” explains Igor Efremov, demographer at the Gaidar Institute in Moscow.

“The war has worsened Russia’s already modest demographic development. This is another contradiction in Putin’s nationalist narrative, used to justify the war being waged. Because the great Russian people he talks about so often, as a result of his decisions, will certainly become less numerous and weaker in the future. “-” Tagespiegel “sums up.

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