Leakage from the ECB. Interest rate hikes in the euro zone may be higher

Last month, the ECB raised the deposit rate by 50 basis points to zero, which was an unexpectedly big move. It was expected that another similar rate hike could take place at the meeting on September 8, as inflation in the euro zone is now approaching the double-digit level.

Although 75bp is still considered unlikely given the expected opposition from southern politicians, the comments reinforce arguments for a 50bp rate hike and point to hawkish dynamics in the debate.

Although no ECB decision-maker publicly supported such a large move, successive increases by the US Federal Reserve and the persistent deterioration of inflation prospects in the euro zone strengthen the arguments for such a discussion.

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