Belarus will join the war against Ukraine? American analysts from the HEIs judge

The Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) reported that Belarus is preparing to accommodate 20,000. Russian conscripts in existing homes, warehouses and abandoned farm buildings. There were also reports of engineering work at the Luniniec airport in Belarus, near the border with Ukraine, and the sending of Russian Su-30 aircraft to the airport in Baranavichy.

This information may indicate that Russia wants to use Belarusian infrastructure to hold and potentially train newly mobilized Russian troops there, but it remains extremely unlikely that this is indicative of the imminent direct participation of Belarus in the war on the side of Russia, assesses the Institute of Foreign Affairs.

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