20,000 Russians may die near Kherson. What will the commanders do?

“We estimate that Russian commanders now consider some 20,000 of their troops on the west bank of the Dnieper to be extremely endangered and it would make operational sense to withdraw from the area,” writes The National, using sources in Western governments. The soldiers could be surrounded and destroyed by Ukrainian forces.

“We estimate that Russian commanders now consider around 20,000 of their soldiers on the west bank of the Dnieper to be extremely endangered and it would make operational sense to withdraw from this area,” one of her interlocutors told a newspaper in the United Arab Emirates. “But it is obvious that this area has political significance and is the only oblast capital that Putin has captured since the beginning of the invasion,” he added.

“After the Russian defeats in the Kharkiv region in early September, where the Ukrainians recaptured large areas, The Kremlin may be extremely reluctant to call a retreat “ – comments “The National”.

“Thanks to the long-range artillery supplied by the West, Ukrainian troops carried out many attacks on Russian ammunition warehouses and bridges on the Dnieper, cutting off the units located on the west bank of the river from supplies,” the newspaper writes. He points out that “the Russians have gathered good troops there, including airborne units, and the Dnieper is one kilometer wide in this section.”

The newspaper source assessed that a possible break by the Ukrainians of the Russian defense around Kherson and the rapid advancement of Ukrainian forces towards Crimea would be difficult, because The Russians still have defense lines on the west bank of the river. “The difficulty in such predictions is always the morale factor, which is really difficult to assess, so it cannot be ruled out,” commented the official.

The National also points out that the reservists who are to be drafted into the army as part of the mobilization of 300,000 people announced by the Kremlin on Wednesday. soldiers, they represent a very low combat quality. “Russian commanders will face a dilemma: either to strengthen low-quality now, or better-trained forces, but later” – said the newspaper’s interlocutor.

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